MOUZ vs TYLOO Prediction: Model Gives TYLOO a Wider Path
Our model makes MOUZ a 65% series favorite over TYLOO in this IEM Beijing 2026 best-of-three, notably shorter than the bookmaker implied line.
MOUZ meet TYLOO at IEM Beijing 2026 in a best-of-three, with the series scheduled to start at 09:30 UTC on 2 November 2026. Both sides arrive from matches on 31 October: MOUZ took a 2-0 result against Vitality, while TYLOO's most recent outing against Metizport is recorded as a loss. The forecast below is generated as of 07:00 UTC on 1 November 2026.
MOUZ vs TYLOO Model Forecast
Our model puts MOUZ at 65% to win the series against TYLOO's 35%. The map-level outputs are conditional and unresolved: each of the seven maps carries a 61% MOUZ / 39% TYLOO map-winner figure, but no map is confirmed as selected. The intervening targets show a gradual drift across the same seven maps — first to 3 sits at 55% MOUZ, first to 6 at 61%, and first to 9 at 62% — while the pistol targets read 55% MOUZ for pistol 1 and 53% for pistol 2.
The regression outputs frame the series as competitive rather than one-sided: a predicted round margin of 3.9 per map and a total of 20.2 rounds per map, with a series margin of 0.6 in MOUZ's favour. Those figures describe expected closeness in the map scores, not a confirmed path through the series.
Recent Results & Head-to-Head
MOUZ's supplied last five reads WLWWW, a 4-1 record built on 2-0 wins over Vitality, Aurora and The MongolZ, a 2-1 win over Spirit, and a 1-2 loss to FURIA. TYLOO's last five reads LWLLW for 2 wins and 3 losses: a 2-0 win over ZOTIX, a 2-1 win over 9z, a 1-2 loss to Iberian Soul, a 0-2 loss to FURIA, and a loss to Metizport recorded without a map score. Head-to-head is level at one win apiece across two meetings — TYLOO won 0-1 at CS Asia Championships 2026 in May 2026, and MOUZ won 1-0 at IEM Chengdu 2024. Two meetings and five-match samples are thin evidence, and neither supports a claim about momentum or a repeat outcome.
Model and Market Comparison
The bookmaker lines show MOUZ at 1.37, an implied 73%, and TYLOO at 6.04, an implied 17%. Our model is less emphatic about MOUZ at 65%, and correspondingly more generous to TYLOO at 35% than the market's 17% implies. A longer TYLOO price of 7.05 is also quoted, with the same 17% implied probability. Market lines remain available for this match, and the gap between forecast and price is the central story here.
Forecast snapshot: 2026-11-01 07:00 UTC. The match page may show newer forecasts and results.
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