Ground Zero Gaming vs Relove Deep Cross Gaming: Model Sees Value on Underdog in LCP Swiss
Our model gives Ground Zero Gaming a 57% chance to win their LCP Swiss match against Relove Deep Cross Gaming, despite both teams' poor recent form.
Relove Deep Cross Gaming and Ground Zero Gaming meet in the Swiss stage of LCP 2026 Split 3 on July 30 at 11:30 UTC. Both teams enter on five-match losing streaks, making this a pivotal best-of-three for their tournament survival.
What the model sees
Our model favors Ground Zero Gaming to win the series with a 57% probability. Across early game objectives, Ground Zero holds slight edges in first baron (52%), first inhibitor (56%), and first tower (53%), while Relove Deep Cross Gaming leads in first blood (54%) and first herald (59%). However, both teams' recent forms are poor—each has lost their last five matches—and the limited head-to-head data shows no wins for either side in five meetings. The model's confidence in Ground Zero is driven by broader objective control probabilities rather than recent momentum.
Odds vs. model
Bookmakers price Relove Deep Cross Gaming as clear favorites at 1.50 (67% implied), while Ground Zero Gaming is listed at 4.05 (25% implied). Our model's 57% probability for Ground Zero implies a significant value discrepancy, particularly at GG.bet where the edge reaches 32% and at 1xbet with a 24% edge. The market broadly disagrees with the model's assessment.
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