Nongshim Red Force vs Hanjin Brion: LCK Road to MSI Week 12 Prediction
Nongshim Red Force face Hanjin Brion in LCK Road to MSI Week 12. Our model predicts the series winner and more.
Nongshim Red Force and Hanjin Brion meet in Week 12 of the LCK 2026 Road to MSI, a best-of-three scheduled for 10:00 UTC on August 14. With no prior head-to-head meetings on record, this series offers a fresh test for both sides as the tournament reaches its final stretch.
What the model sees
Our model gives Hanjin Brion a clear edge in the series, projecting a 68% win probability against Nongshim Red Force's 32%. The model sees Hanjin Brion ahead across most early-game objectives, including first baron (59%), first dragon (54%), first tower (51%), and first to 10 kills (63%), while Nongshim Red Force holds a notable advantage in first herald at 70% overall. Side selection matters: Hanjin Brion's red-side numbers are particularly strong, and Nongshim Red Force's herald edge narrows to 58% on blue side and flips to 43% on red side. Recent form supports the gap, as Hanjin Brion enter with a 4-1 record in their last five, while Nongshim Red Force have no recorded matches in that span.
Odds vs. model
The model's 68% series probability for Hanjin Brion sits well above the 50% implied by the best available bookmaker odds, and value data from GG.bet and 1xbet reflect an 18% and 16% edge respectively for Hanjin Brion. The market broadly points in the same direction, though the model sees the gap as wider than the odds suggest.
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