Ninjas in Pyjamas vs paiN: BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2 Preview
Ninjas in Pyjamas face paiN in BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2. Our model gives NiP a 55% win probability. Read the full match prediction.
Ninjas in Pyjamas take on paiN in a best-of-three series at BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2 on July 26, 2026 at 10:00 UTC. Both teams are looking to build momentum in the early rounds of the tournament, with NiP riding strong recent form while paiN aims to level the all-time head-to-head.
What the model sees
Our model leans towards Ninjas in Pyjamas as the series winner with a 55% probability. The predicted series margin also favors NiP, expecting a relatively close match. Recent form supports this view: NiP have won four of their last five matches, including wins over HEROIC, Echo, 100 Thieves, and M80. In contrast, paiN hold a 2-3 record in their last five, with losses to 3DMAX, Phantom, and Sharks. However, the head-to-head is tied at 1-1, and paiN won their most recent meeting 2-1 in the BLAST Bounty Fall 2025 Closed Qualifier, adding an element of uncertainty.
Odds vs. model
Our model's 55% probability for Ninjas in Pyjamas translates to implied odds of around 1.82, but the best bookmaker odds list NiP at 3.05 (33% implied) and paiN at 2.61 (38% implied), indicating the market sees this as more open. Notably, several bookmakers offer odds on paiN that imply a lower probability than our model's 45%, creating a value edge of 3-4% on the underdog.
Full match page · Our track record
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