Liquid vs FURIA: a 46% model line against a 34% market
PGL Masters Bucharest 2026, best-of-three: our model has FURIA at 54% to win the series, while the bookmaker line implies 66% for FURIA and 34% for Liquid.
Liquid meet FURIA in a best-of-three at PGL Masters Bucharest 2026, starting 14:00 UTC on 28 October 2026. Both teams played the previous day: Liquid lost 1-2 to Aurora, while FURIA beat TYLOO 2-0. The series forecast and the bookmaker line take noticeably different views of the favourite.
Liquid vs FURIA Model Forecast
Our model gives FURIA a 54% chance of taking the series and Liquid 46%, with the regression output favouring FURIA by a predicted series margin of 0.1. The map-winner projections are conditional scenarios tied to unresolved map selections: each listed map shows Liquid at 53% and FURIA at 47%. Those are not confirmed map picks.
At map level, the first-to-3, first-to-6 and first-to-9 targets lean FURIA on every listed map, at 52%, 53% and 54% respectively, while both pistol-round targets sit at 50% each. The per-map round margin is projected at 0.3 and total rounds at 21.6.
Recent Results & Head-to-Head
Liquid's last five reads LWLWL, a 2-3 record: a 2-0 win over Legacy and a 2-1 win over MOUZ, with losses to Aurora (1-2), FUT (0-2) and magic (0-2). FURIA's last five reads WLLWW, 3-2: wins over TYLOO (2-0), DENDELE (2-0) and BETBOOM (3-2), with losses to Spirit (1-2) and Natus Vincere (0-2). Head-to-head, Liquid lead 6-2 across eight meetings; the most recent was FURIA's 2-1 win at FISSURE Playground 2 in September 2025. Those results are a small sample and the head-to-head spans different periods, so neither should be read as a firm predictor of this series.
Model and Market Comparison
Bookmaker lines price FURIA at 1.52, an implied 66%, and Liquid at 2.9, an implied 34%. Our model puts FURIA at 54% and Liquid at 46%, so the market is more confident in FURIA than the model is. The disagreement is the notable feature of this match: the market makes FURIA a clear favourite, while the model's leaning to FURIA is narrower.
Forecast snapshot: 2026-10-28 07:00 UTC. The match page may show newer forecasts and results.
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