KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA – LCK 2026 Week 12 Series Prediction
KT Rolster take on Dplus KIA in LCK 2026 Rounds 3-4. Our model's series prediction favors Dplus KIA at 60%. Full preview here.
KT Rolster and Dplus KIA close out LCK 2026 Rounds 3-4 with a best-of-three series on August 12 at 10:00 UTC. Both teams are fighting for playoff positioning in the final week of the round, and the match carries added weight given their recent head-to-head history.
What the model sees
Our model gives Dplus KIA a 60% chance of winning the series, with KT Rolster at 40%. The edge for Dplus KIA is driven by their overall map-level win probability (52%) and stronger red-side numbers, where they sit at 56% for the match winner. KT Rolster still commands early-game advantages in several areas, notably first herald (60%) and first tower (56%), while the model splits first blood evenly at 50-50. Dplus KIA holds narrow edges on first baron (51%), first dragon (52%), and first inhibitor (50% to 50%, with a 60% edge when starting on red side).
Recent form complicates the picture. KT Rolster enter with a 3-2 record over their last five, including a 1-0 win over Dplus KIA in their most recent meeting. Dplus KIA are 2-3 in the same stretch and lost that head-to-head, but the model still favors them based on broader performance indicators. Historically, KT Rolster leads the head-to-head 7-3, which adds a layer of uncertainty to the model's series projection.
Odds vs. model
The best available bookmaker odds imply a 65% probability for Dplus KIA to win the series, slightly higher than our model's 60%. However, one bookmaker (GG.bet) offers decimal odds of 1.88 on Dplus KIA, implying 53% probability, which our model sees as a 7% value edge relative to its own 60% estimate. The market broadly agrees that Dplus KIA are the favorites, but the more generous price on the same side stands out as a potential inefficiency.
Full match page · Our track record
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