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· 2 min read · By ZestWin Data Desk · lol , prediction , LCK 2026 Rounds 3-4

Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FearX: LCK Week 12 Series Prediction

LCK 2026 Week 12 prediction for Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FearX: model sees a 61% series win chance for Kiwoom DRX despite FearX's 3-0 head-to-head lead.

Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FearX: LCK Week 12 Series Prediction

Kiwoom DRX and BNK FearX meet in a best-of-three at LCK 2026 Rounds 3-4, Week 12, starting at 08:00 UTC on August 13. FearX swept the season series 3-0, but DRX enter with momentum from two recent wins over DN SOOPers. This match carries clear seeding implications as both teams hover around a 2-3 record in their last five.

What the model sees

Our model projects Kiwoom DRX as the series winner with a 61% probability, despite BNK FearX holding a perfect 3-0 head-to-head record. That edge is driven by DRX's superior early-game pacing: they are favored to take first herald at 63%, first tower at 55%, and first-to-5 kills at 52%. The model is less confident on neutral objectives, giving FearX a slight lead on first dragon (51%) and first inhibitor (51%), and calls first blood a coin flip at 50-50. Recent form is mixed for both teams, but DRX's wins have come in quick 1-0 fashion, while FearX has split results against mid-table sides.

Odds vs. model

The model's 61% series-win probability for Kiwoom DRX stands well above the 44% implied by the best available bookmaker odds. This discrepancy is most pronounced at GG.bet, where Kiwoom DRX is listed at 2.27 with a 49% implied probability, giving the model a 17% edge. The market broadly agrees that FearX is competitive, but our model sees clear value on DRX to take the series.


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