Invictus Gaming vs Shenzhen NINJAS IN PYJAMAS: LPL Playoffs Week 3
Invictus Gaming take on Shenzhen NINJAS IN PYJAMAS in LPL 2026 Split 2 Playoffs. Read our model's prediction for the series and key early-game targets.
Invictus Gaming and Shenzhen NINJAS IN PYJAMAS collide in Week 3 of the LPL 2026 Split 2 Playoffs on August 6, 2026 at 09:00 UTC. Both teams enter the best-of-three series desperate to turn around five-match losing streaks. With playoff survival on the line, early-game tempo and first-objective control could shape the entire series.
What the model sees
Our model gives Invictus Gaming a 64% chance to win the series, leaning on their edge in early-game objectives. They are projected to secure first herald at 60%, first inhibitor at 58%, and first tower at 57%, while their first-to-5 kill advantage sits at 55%. The picture is more balanced around first blood (50-50) and first dragon (49-51), suggesting the opening minutes will be close even if Invictus tends to convert later advantages. Shenzhen NINJAS IN PYJAMAS, meanwhile, are favored only on red-side first herald (60%) and hold narrow edges on first baron overall (53%) and first baron on blue side (53%). Given both teams' identical 0-5 recent form, the model's series projection leans on structural strengths rather than momentum. The head-to-head record shows just one previous meeting with no wins recorded for either side, offering little direct signal for this matchup.
Odds vs. model
At the time of writing, bookmaker odds were not yet available for this match; as such, this preview does not include a comparison against market-implied probabilities. The model's probabilities above stand on their own, with a 64% series-win projection for Invictus Gaming and a 36% mark for Shenzhen NINJAS IN PYJAMAS.
Full match page · Our track record
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