HLE Challengers vs KRX Challengers: LCK CL Week 11 Prediction
HLE Challengers vs KRX Challengers LCK CL 2026 prediction: model gives KRX a 71% series win probability and favors them in most early-game objectives.
HLE Challengers and KRX Challengers meet in Week 11 of LCK CL 2026 Rounds 3-4, a best-of-three with playoff positioning at stake. The match starts at 05:00 UTC on August 7. HLE enter on a five-match losing streak while KRX have won four of their last five, setting up a stark contrast in momentum.
What the model sees
Our model is firmly behind KRX Challengers, giving them a 71% chance to take the series and a 58% chance to win a given game. That edge shows up across the map: KRX are favored for first blood (51%), first dragon (53%), first tower (61%), and first inhibitor (63%). The one notable exception is first herald, where HLE Challengers hold a 59% probability, suggesting they are willing to contest early Rift Herald even as the rest of the game tilts in KRX's direction. The head-to-head data is minimal — a single prior meeting with no recorded wins for either side — so the projection leans heavily on recent form, where HLE's 0-5 record and KRX's 4-1 run are hard to ignore.
Odds vs. model
Bookmaker odds were not yet available at the time of writing, so no direct comparison between our model's probabilities and market-implied odds can be made for this matchup.
Full match page · Our track record
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