Alpha Zest.win is officially in Alpha — and the first month is on us. Read more →
← Back to blog
· 2 min read · By ZestWin Data Desk · lol , prediction , LCK 2026 Road to MSI

HANJIN BRION vs NONGSHIM RED FORCE: LCK Road to MSI Week 11 Prediction

HANJIN BRION vs NONGSHIM RED FORCE prediction for LCK 2026 Road to MSI Week 11. Model projects a 66% series win chance for HANJIN BRION.

HANJIN BRION vs NONGSHIM RED FORCE: LCK Road to MSI Week 11 Prediction

HANJIN BRION and NONGSHIM RED FORCE meet in Week 11 of the LCK 2026 Road to MSI on August 5 at 08:00 UTC. This best-of-three series carries playoff positioning stakes for both rosters. Our model has crunched the numbers ahead of the first Baron.

What the model sees

Our model is leaning toward HANJIN BRION across most early-game targets. HANJIN BRION are favored for first blood at 52%, first tower at 57%, first herald at 58%, and first inhibitor at 61%. The series winner projection is especially confident at 66% to 34%. NONGSHIM RED FORCE's only overall edge comes on first dragon at 51%, though they do hold a 61% shot at first herald on red side. HANJIN BRION's recent form is mixed at 2-3, while NONGSHIM RED FORCE come in winless over their last five. The head-to-head record is even at two meetings with no wins recorded for either side, offering little separation.

Odds vs. model

The model's 66% series probability for HANJIN BRION compares with a 63% implied probability in the bookmaker odds at 1xbet, creating a 28% edge. Similarly, GG.bet prices HANJIN BRION at implied 61%, for a 26% edge. The market broadly agrees with the model direction, though these odds suggest the model sees more value on HANJIN BRION than the bookmaker consensus.


Full match page · Our track record

zest.win predictions are informational only, not betting advice. Join the alpha — free month for registrations before July 31, 2026.

Share this analysis
Post on X

Related Analysis & Predictions

View all posts →