Galorys vs Bounty Hunters: model 63% in ESL Challenger BO3
Our model gives Galorys a 63% series edge over Bounty Hunters in the ESL Challenger League South America Cup 3 BO3.
Galorys meet Bounty Hunters in the ESL Challenger League Season 52: South America Cup 3, a best-of-three starting at 21:00 UTC on 12 October 2026. Both sides carry a 3-2 record across their last five matches, and the head-to-head series is level at five wins apiece from ten meetings. Our model makes Galorys the 63% favourite to take the series.
Galorys vs Bounty Hunters Model Forecast
Our model puts Galorys at 63% to win the series against Bounty Hunters' 37%. The conditional map-winner scenarios sit at 61% for Galorys on each of the seven listed maps, but those scenarios remain unresolved, so they are not confirmed map selections. Across the race targets, the model has Galorys at 54% to reach three rounds first, 55% to reach six and 58% to reach nine on every listed map, with Bounty Hunters at 46%, 45% and 42% respectively.
The regression side of the forecast points to a close series: a predicted series margin of 0.3 in Galorys' favour, a round margin of 1.7 on each listed map, and a total of 21.5 rounds on each listed map. Pistol rounds are near even, at 52% Galorys for the first pistol and a 50% split on the second.
Recent Results & Head-to-Head
Both teams arrive at three wins and two losses over their last five. Galorys beat Yawara 2-0, MEIA NOITE 2-1 and Turma do Pagode 2-0, with defeats to Low Cortisol BR (listed as 0-0) and Grêmio 0-2. Bounty Hunters beat BORRACHEIROS 2-0, ALKA 2-0 and Procyon 2-0, losing to LP 0-2 and Turma do Pagode 0-2. Ten meetings have produced five wins each, with Galorys taking four of the five most recently listed encounters, including a 2-1 result on 27 September and 2-0 wins on 6 September and 26 August. Samples of this size cannot establish momentum or a dependable pattern for this match.
Model and Market Comparison
The 63% series forecast for Galorys sits against a 1xBet line of 1.70, which implies 59% and is listed with a four-point edge; Bounty Hunters' 37% sits against a GG.BET price of 2.93, implying 31% with a three-point edge listed. The best listed decimals for the match are 2.18 on Galorys, implying 46%, and 2.93 on Bounty Hunters, implying 34%.
Forecast snapshot: 2026-10-12 15:00 UTC. The match page may show newer forecasts and results.
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