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· 2 min read · By ZestWin Data Desk · lol , prediction , LCP 2026 Split 2 Playoffs

LCP 2026 Swiss: Team Secret Whales Heavy Favorites vs Fukuoka HAWKS

Team Secret Whales face Fukuoka SoftBank HAWKS in LCP 2026 Split 2 Playoffs. Our model predicts a 67% chance for Team Secret Whales to win the Bo3 series.

LCP 2026 Swiss: Team Secret Whales Heavy Favorites vs Fukuoka HAWKS

Team Secret Whales take on Fukuoka SoftBank HAWKS gaming in the Swiss round of the LCP 2026 Split 2 Playoffs on July 25 at 11:30 UTC. This best-of-3 match is critical for both teams as they fight to advance in the tournament.

What the model sees

Our model gives Team Secret Whales a 67% probability of winning the series, reflecting their dominant 6-0 head-to-head record against Fukuoka HAWKS. Recent form tells a similar story: Fukuoka has lost five straight matches, while Team Secret Whales, despite a 1-4 record in their last five, have shown flashes of competitiveness. The historical matchup data strongly supports the model's view that Team Secret Whales hold a clear edge.

Odds vs. model

Bookmakers largely agree with our model, pricing Team Secret Whales at 1.47 (68% implied probability) and Fukuoka HAWKS at 3.72 (27% implied). However, our model sees marginal value on the underdog: Fukuoka's 33% win probability is higher than the 27% implied by the best odds, yielding a small edge. The market broadly aligns with the model's assessment, but the discrepancy on Fukuoka suggests a potential value opportunity for those looking beyond the implied probabilities.


Full match page · Our track record

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