Fukuoka SoftBank HAWKS vs DetonatioN FocusMe: LCP Swiss Prediction
Our model predicts Fukuoka SoftBank HAWKS gaming to defeat DetonatioN FocusMe in LCP 2026 Split 3 Swiss. Analysis and odds.
Fukuoka SoftBank HAWKS gaming and DetonatioN FocusMe meet in the Swiss round of LCP 2026 Split 3 on July 30 at 09:00 UTC. Both teams enter on five-match losing streaks, making this a crucial best-of-three series.
What the model sees
Our model heavily favors Fukuoka SoftBank HAWKS gaming to win the series with a 73% probability and gives them the edge across almost all early-game objectives, including first herald (70%), first inhibitor (70%), and first tower (67%). The head-to-head record supports this view: SHG have won five of their last seven meetings, including two victories in the LCP 2026 Split 2 Playoffs. Recent form complicates the picture, as both sides have lost their last five matches. SHG's losses came against teams like GAM Esports and Deep Cross Gaming, while DetonatioN FocusMe suffered defeats to similar opposition, suggesting SHG's higher ceiling may prevail.
Odds vs. model
The model gives SHG a 73% chance to win the series, while the best bookmaker odds imply a 91% probability, indicating the market is even more confident. For DetonatioN FocusMe, the model sees a 27% chance, but bookmakers offer odds as high as 7.49 (implied 13%), creating a value edge of 14% on GG.bet and 12% on 1xbet.
Full match page · Our track record
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