LCK Week 10: DRX vs Nongshim RedForce – Model Favors NS RedForce
DRX face Nongshim RedForce in LCK Week 10. Our model gives RedForce a 56% win probability. Read the preview.
DRX and Nongshim RedForce clash in LCK 2026 Week 10 on July 29 at 08:00 UTC. With playoff implications on the line, both teams look to secure a best-of-three victory. DRX enter on a three-match losing streak, while NS RedForce have won three of their last five.
What the model sees
Our model predicts Nongshim RedForce as the series winner with a 56% probability over DRX’s 44%. The head-to-head history strongly supports this view: NS RedForce have won eight of the last ten meetings, including five consecutive victories. DRX’s recent form is mixed—they have lost three straight but then bounced back with two wins—while NS RedForce have been more consistent, winning three of five. However, DRX’s wins came against lower-tier opponents, and their losses were all 1-2, suggesting they can be competitive. The model sees NS RedForce’s superior track record and slightly better recent form as decisive, but the series is far from a foregone conclusion.
Odds vs. model
Our model assigns Nongshim RedForce a 56% chance to win the series and DRX a 44% chance. At the time of writing, no bookmaker odds were yet available for this match, so we cannot compare market-implied probabilities. The model’s edge cannot be assessed without market data, but the projections are based solely on historical and form analysis.
Full match page · Our track record
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