Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster: LCK 2026 Week 11 Series Preview
Dplus KIA meet KT Rolster in LCK 2026 Rounds 3-4. Our model predicts a Dplus series win at 66% despite KT's recent head-to-head edge.
Dplus KIA and KT Rolster close out LCK 2026 Rounds 3-4 with a Week 11 best-of-three on August 9 at 08:00 UTC. The series carries playoff positioning weight, and both teams arrive with identical 2-3 records over their last five matches. KT Rolster have won four of the last five head-to-head meetings, but the model still makes Dplus the favorite.
What the model sees
Our model gives Dplus KIA a 66% chance to win the series and a 57% map win probability, while KT Rolster is projected to take first blood and first dragon. Dplus holds the edge in first baron, first herald, first tower, first inhibitor, and first to 10, reflecting stronger objective control across most early-game markers. KT's recent head-to-head dominance (6-4 overall, including three straight wins) complicates that picture, and both teams enter with identical 2-3 form slumps, but the model still leans on Dplus's broader statistical edge across map-level targets.
Odds vs. model
The best available bookmaker odds on Dplus KIA to win the series imply a 43% probability, while our model assigns 66% — a significant divergence. Even at the more conservative 2.03 price seen with one bookmaker, the implied probability is 49%, leaving a 17% edge for Dplus in the model's view. The market's overall favorite is KT Rolster at 1.73 (58% implied), but our model sees the reverse outcome as the more likely one.
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