CTBC Flying Oyster vs T1: model and market split at Worlds
Our model makes T1 66% favourites in this Worlds 2026 Swiss BO1, while bookmaker lines price CTBC Flying Oyster at 1.165.
CTBC Flying Oyster and T1 meet in the Swiss stage of Worlds 2026 on 26 October, with the single game scheduled for 17:00 UTC. A BO1 at this point of the bracket leaves no room for a correction game, and the two lineups arrive with identical recent records. Our model and the supplied bookmaker lines do not agree on which side should be favoured.
CTBC Flying Oyster vs T1 Model Forecast
Our model makes T1 the series favourite at 66% to CTBC Flying Oyster's 34%, and its winner market sits close to that at 63% to 37% — in a BO1 the two targets describe the same game. The objective markets are much tighter: first blood and first herald are each quoted at 50%, first dragon at 54% T1, first baron at 53% T1 and first tower at 55% T1. The wider splits come later, with first inhibitor at 64% T1 and first to 10 kills at 62% T1. Red-side splits push several of those numbers further toward T1, including first inhibitor at 68%, first tower at 66% and first herald at 64%. No margin or total projections are supplied for this fixture, so the forecast covers only the winner and first-objective markets.
Recent Results & Head-to-Head
Both teams are 2-3 across their last five and both show the same LWLWL sequence. CTBC Flying Oyster lost 0-1 to Movistar KOI on 24 October after a 1-0 win over Team Liquid the day before; T1 lost 0-1 to Dplus KIA on 24 October after a 1-0 win over Los Grandes. The head-to-head stands at 1-1 from two meetings: CTBC won 1-0 at Worlds 2025, and T1 took the MSI 2026 encounter 2-3 on the scoreboard. Two meetings and five recent results per side are thin samples, and they do not establish a durable edge for either team.
Model and Market Comparison
The supplied bookmaker lines point the other way. CTBC Flying Oyster are quoted at 1.165, an 86% implied probability, and T1 at 6.55, a 15% implied probability, against our model's 66% for T1. At 1xbet the T1 price of 6.55 carries a 19% implied probability against the model's 66%, a gap the model records as a 51% edge; GG.bet quotes 6.2 on the same side. That divergence between the forecast and the market is the defining feature of this match.
Forecast snapshot: 2026-10-26 15:00 UTC. The match page may show newer forecasts and results.
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