CTBC Flying Oyster vs GAM Esports: LCP 2026 Split 3 Swiss Prediction
Our model's prediction for CTBC Flying Oyster vs GAM Esports in LCP 2026 Split 3 Swiss. See win probabilities, objectives, and series odds.
CTBC Flying Oyster face GAM Esports in the Swiss round of LCP 2026 Split 3 on July 31 at 11:30 UTC. It's a best-of-three with both sides looking to build momentum in the round. The two teams have a long history, with CTBC leading the all-time series 8-2.
What the model sees
Our model gives GAM Esports a 66% chance to win the series and a 59% chance to win game one, while CTBC Flying Oyster are at 34% and 41% respectively. In the early game, CTBC hold advantages for first herald (62%) and first tower (51%), but GAM are favored for first baron (56%) and first inhibitor (61%). Recent form complicates the picture: CTBC are 1-4 in their last five while GAM are 2-3, yet GAM also lost to T1 twice in that stretch. Head-to-head history is lopsided at 8-2 in favor of CTBC, but GAM won the most recent playoff meetings, so the series projects as a closer battle than the historical record alone suggests.
Odds vs. model
Bookmakers list GAM Esports at 1.58 (implied 63%) and CTBC Flying Oyster at 3.24 (implied 31%). Our model assigns GAM a 66% series-win probability, slightly above the market's 63%; at GG.bet, the offered 1.58 implies 60%, leaving a modest 3% edge for GAM. The market broadly reflects our view, though our model is a bit more confident in GAM's chances.
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