100 Thieves vs INOX Division: IEM Beijing Open Qualifier Prediction
100 Thieves face INOX Division in a BO1 at IEM Beijing 2026 Open Qualifier. Our model predicts a close match with INOX slight favorites.
100 Thieves and INOX Division collide in a best-of-one opener at the IEM Beijing 2026 Open Qualifier on August 24 at 16:00 UTC. With no prior head-to-head meetings, this first showdown sets the tone for both teams' qualification hopes.
What the model sees
Our model makes INOX Division slight favorites to win the series, projecting a 53% probability over 100 Thieves' 47%. That edge carries across virtually every map target, including Mirage, Inferno, Dust2, Ancient, Nuke, Vertigo and Anubis, where INOX consistently holds a 51-53% chance on map winner and first-to-3/6/9 thresholds. The predicted round margin is a mere 0.6 on each map and the series margin favors INOX by just 0.1, underlining a remarkably tight contest.
Recent form does little to separate the sides: both arrive with a 3-2 record across their last five matches. 100 Thieves have beaten 1win, BC.Game and INFINITE, but lost to PARIVISION and Vitality. INOX Division have taken down Butterfly, Honvéd and Misa, while falling to Lavked and BASEMENT BOYS. The near-identical trajectories and the absence of any head-to-head data leave the model leaning on map-by-map micro-stats rather than a decisive historical edge.
Odds vs. model
Bookmaker odds were not yet available at the time of writing, so we cannot compare the market's implied probability with our model's 53% for INOX Division.
Full match page · Our track record
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